A Qualitative analysis the Factors Affects Voters Behavior

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.69812/ijsps.v2i1.96

Keywords:

Voters Behavior , Politics, Electoral

Abstract

Understanding voter behavior in Indonesia's diverse sociopolitical landscape is critical for fostering democratic participation. This qualitative study examines the multifaceted factors influencing electoral choices in the 2024 Indonesian General Election through the lenses of sociological, psychological, and rational choice theories. Employing case studies, interviews, and thematic analysis of existing literature, the research highlights the interplay between Indonesia’s entrenched ethnic, religious, and social cleavages and emerging technological and demographic shifts. Key findings reveal a generational divide: urban, educated voters exhibit heightened skepticism toward institutional politics, while rural communities remain influenced by traditional patronage networks. The 2024 elections underscore the dual dynamics of digital campaign strategies such as the viral "gemoy" rebranding tactic targeting Gen Z and persistent structural challenges like political polarization and regional disparities in electoral access. The study identifies how digital platforms amplify emotional appeals and identity politics, yet rational calculations around policy outcomes (e.g., economic welfare programs) remain pivotal. Recommendations emphasize the need to strengthen electoral integrity through transparent governance, equitable technological access, and narratives that bridge pragmatic governance objectives with sociocultural values. By synthesizing multidisciplinary insights, this research contributes to broader discourses on inclusive political engagement in pluralistic democracies, offering pathways to mitigate polarization and enhance democratic resilience in Indonesia’s evolving political ecosystem.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Abdullah, M., Hakam, K. A., Wilodati, W., & Ratnafitria, R. (2020). Analysis of Vote Behavior in Election (Psychological Study of Election Behavior on the Young Generation). https://doi.org/10.2991/assehr.k.200130.158

Adams, C. (2019). Canada’s early developments in the public opinion research industry. Journal of Canadian Studies, 53(1). https://doi.org/10.3138/jcs.2017-0080

Adler, P. A., Adler, P., & Weiss, R. S. (1995). Learning from Strangers: The Art and Method of Qualitative Interview Studies. Contemporary Sociology, 24(3). https://doi.org/10.2307/2076552

Antunes, R. (2010). Theoretical models of voting behaviour. Exedra, 4.

Arrianie, L., Meranti, P. L., & Ningrum, P. dyahloka. (2024). Political and intercultural communication in determining presidential candidates in the indonesian elections 2024. Malaysian Journal of Communication, 40(3), 152–167. https://doi.org/10.17576/jkmjc-2024-4003-09

Babjáková, J., Džuka, J., & Gresty, J. (2019). Perceived causes of poverty and subjective aspirations of the poor: A literature review. In Ceskoslovenska Psychologie (Vol. 63, Issue 3).

Baekgaard, M., Christensen, J., Dahlmann, C. M., Mathiasen, A., & Petersen, N. B. G. (2019). The Role of Evidence in Politics: Motivated Reasoning and Persuasion among Politicians. British Journal of Political Science, 49(3). https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123417000084

Bayat, A. (2017). Is There A Youth Politics? Middle East : Topics & Arguments, 9.

Boeky, K. S. P. (2024). Capres ‘Gemoy’: a Personal Branding Analysis on Prabowo Subianto for the 2024 Presidential Election. MEDIASI Jurnal Kajian Dan Terapan Media, Bahasa, Komunikasi, 5(1). https://doi.org/10.46961/mediasi.v5i1.1019

Bora, A., Choi, G., Moore, T., Tang, R., & Zheng, Y. (2021). The ARt of Inequality: A Youth Social Justice Exhibition in Augmented Reality. Current Issues in Comparative Education, 23(2). https://doi.org/10.52214/cice.v23i2.8541

Bourne, R. (2015). Power Politics in Zimbabwe. By Michael Bratton. International Affairs, 91(2). https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-2346.12266

Bozkanat, E., & Göksu, O. (2020). Siyasette İknayi Robert B. Cialdini Üzerinden Okumak. Öneri Dergisi, 15(53). https://doi.org/10.14783/maruoneri.676373

Bratton, M. (2008). Vote buying and violence in Nigerian election campaigns. Electoral Studies, 27(4). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2008.04.013

Budiana, H. R., Koswara, A., Prastowo, F. A. A., & Ratnasari, E. (2024). Public Opinion Dynamics on Twitter: A Preliminary Analysis of Conversations Related to the 2024 General Election in Indonesia. Journal of Law and Sustainable Development, 12(1). https://doi.org/10.55908/sdgs.v12i1.2132

Burgin, E. (1994). Influences shaping members’ decision making: Congressional voting on the Persian Gulf War. Political Behavior, 16(3). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01498954

Butler, D., & Stokes, D. (2013). Political Change in Britain. Basis of Electoral Choice. In Journal of Chemical Information and Modeling (Vol. 53, Issue 9).

Campbell, D. E. (2010). Why we vote: How schools and communities shape our civic life. In Why We Vote: How Schools and Communities Shape Our Civic Life. https://doi.org/10.5860/choice.44-5308

Card, D., & Moretti, E. (2007). Does voting technology affect election outcomes? Touch-screen voting and the 2004 Presidential election. Review of Economics and Statistics, 89(4). https://doi.org/10.1162/rest.89.4.660

Coe, A. B., & Vandegrift, D. (2015). Youth Politics and Culture in Contemporary Latin America: A Review. Latin American Politics and Society, 57(2). https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1548-2456.2015.00271.x

Congleton, R. D., Grofman, B., & Voigt, S. (2019). The oxford handbook of public choice: Volume 1. In The Oxford Handbook of Public Choice: Volume 1 (Vol. 1). https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190469733.001.0001

de Beer, D., & Matthee, M. (2021). Approaches to Identify Fake News: A Systematic Literature Review. In Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems (Vol. 136). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-49264-9_2

De La Poza, E., Jódar, L., & Pricop, A. (2017). Modelling and analysing voting behaviour: the case of the Spanish general elections. Applied Economics, 49(13). https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2016.1217307

Douglas, J. A. (2013). The Foundational Importance of Voting : A Response to Professor Flanders. The. Okla. L. Rev., 66.

Edlin, A., Gelman, A., & Kaplan, N. (2007). Voting as a rational choice: Why and how people vote to improve the well-being of others. Rationality and Society, 19(3). https://doi.org/10.1177/1043463107077384

Eggers, A. C., & Vivyan, N. (2020). Who Votes More Strategically? American Political Science Review, 114(2). https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055419000820

Ekasari, A. (2020). Pengaruh locus of control, perceived risk, voter decision involvement dan voter satisfaction terhadap voting stability pemilih. Media Riset Bisnis & Manajemen Univerisitas Trisakti, 6(2), 85–106. https://doi.org/10.25105/mrbm.v6i2.8141

Fauzi, A. M. (2019). Perilaku Pemilih Menjelang Pemilu 2019. Journal of Islamic Civilization, 1(1). https://doi.org/10.33086/jic.v1i1.918

Feddersen, T. J. (2004). Rational choice theory and the paradox of not voting. In Journal of Economic Perspectives (Vol. 18, Issue 1). https://doi.org/10.1257/089533004773563458

Fernando, H., Larasati, Y. G., Abdullah, I., Saka, P. ananda, & Hendri, M. (2024). The Abstention of Urban Students Preference in Indonesian Election 2024. Politicon Jurnal Ilmu Politik, 6(1), 29–52. https://doi.org/10.15575/politicon.v6i1.33714

Fisher, J., Fieldhouse, E., Franklin, M. N., Gibson, R., Cantijoch, M., & Wlezien, C. (2017). The routledge handbook of elections, voting behavior and public OPINION. In The Routledge Handbook of Elections, Voting Behavior and Public Opinion. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315712390

Fraile, M., & Hernández, E. (2020). Determinants of Voting Behaviour. In The Oxford Handbook of Spanish Politics. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780198826934.013.22

Ganti, A. (2020). Rational Choice Theory Definition. In Investopedia.

Genova, C. (2018). Youth activism in political squats between centri sociali and case occupate. Societies, 8(3). https://doi.org/10.3390/soc8030077

Gerring, J. (2017). Qualitative Methods. In Annual Review of Political Science (Vol. 20, pp. 15–36). Annual Reviews Inc. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-polisci-092415-024158

Gigerenzer, G., & Gaissmaier, W. (2011). Heuristic decision making. Annual Review of Psychology, 62. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-psych-120709-145346

Hall, H. (2019). Voting Behavior Among Young Adults: An Analysis of Youth Voters and how Behavioral Economic Concepts can be Applied to Increase Young Voter Turnout. Honors College Theses.

Hanida, R., Meldianto, R., & Hasnita, S. (2025). Simultaneous national and local elections 2024: triggering voter fatigue, coattail effect, and political polarization in indonesia. Kne Social Sciences, 10(4), 21-36. https://doi.org/10.18502/kss.v10i4.18024

Ibrahim, Z., & Lam, J. (2020). Rebel city: hong kong’s year of water and fire. In Rebel City: Hong Kong’s Year of Water and Fire. https://doi.org/10.1142/11777

Ivanescu, M. (2017). From The People’s Choice to the Social Media Voting Platforms. The 2014 Romanian Presidential Elections and the Sociological Construction of Voting Decisions. Revista de Stiinte Politice, 53.

Jenke, L., & Huettel, S. A. (2020). Voter Preferences Reflect a Competition Between Policy and Identity. Frontiers in Psychology, 11. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.566020

Jiang, L. (2023). Multilingual youths’ digital activism through multimodal composing in the post-pandemic era. Journal of Multilingual and Multicultural Development. https://doi.org/10.1080/01434632.2023.2181353

Jaidun, J. (2024). Ensuring electoral integrity through professional and ethical election organizers. Indonesian Journal of Public Policy Review, 25(3). https://doi.org/10.21070/ijppr.v25i3.1420

Kroeber, C., Le Gall, C., & Dingler, S. C. (2021). How individuals’ social characteristics impact the likelihood to waste a vote–evidence from Great Britain, Germany and France. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 31(3). https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2020.1718155

Krstić, M. (2022). Rational choice theory – alternatives and criticisms. Socijalna Ekologija, 31(1). https://doi.org/10.17234/SocEkol.31.1.1

Kulachai, W., Lerdtomornsakul, U., & Homyamyen, P. (2023). Factors Influencing Voting Decision: A Comprehensive Literature Review. In Social Sciences (Vol. 12, Issue 9). https://doi.org/10.3390/socsci12090469

Kurtbaş, İ. (2015). A Psycho-Political Analysis of Voting Pscyhology “An Empirical Study on Political Psychology”. Journal of Administrative Sciences and Policy Studies, 3(2). https://doi.org/10.15640/jasps.v3n2a6

Lam-Knott, S., & Cheng, Y. (2020). Youth politics in urban Asia: an introduction. In Space and Polity (Vol. 24, Issue 1). https://doi.org/10.1080/13562576.2020.1732200

Lasén, A. (2015). Rhythms and flow. Timing and spacing the digitally mediated everyday. In Handbook of Children and Youth Studies. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-4451-15-4_37

Levine, K. J. (2005). Voter decision making: The tensions of personal identity, personal ethics, and personal benefit. American Behavioral Scientist, 49(1). https://doi.org/10.1177/0002764205279427

Marshall, J. (2016). Education and voting conservative: Evidence from a major schooling reform in Great Britain. Journal of Politics, 78(2). https://doi.org/10.1086/683848

Marshall, J. (2019). The Anti-Democrat Diploma: How High School Education Decreases Support for the Democratic Party. American Journal of Political Science, 63(1). https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12409

Masatlioglu, Y., & Ok, E. a. (2006). Reference-Dependent Procedural Decision Making. Unpublished Manuscript NYU.

Milanese, J. P., Abadía, A. A., Rodríguez, A., & Cuervo, B. (2017). Configuración de los apoyos electorales a nivel municipal. Un análisis de los resultados electoralespara la Alcaldía de Cali, Colombia (2003-2015). Colombia Internacional, 90. https://doi.org/10.7440/colombiaint90.2017.03

Mohd Arifin, S. R. (2018). Ethical Considerations in Qualitative Study. International journal of care scholars, 1(2). https://doi.org/10.31436/ijcs.v1i2.82

Mubarrod, R., & Syarwi, P. (2024). Marketing politik jelang Pemilu 2024 " Desak Anies ", " Prabowo Gemoy ", dan " Ganjar Nginap di Rumah Warga ". Jurnal Communitarian, 5(2).

Mueller, D. C. (2003). Public choice III. In Public Choice III (Vol. 9780521815468). https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511813771

Ningsih, P. W., Siahaan, R. Y., Tinambunan, D. R., Situmeang, T. A., Simbolon, J. A., Harahap, D. E. P., & Lase, M. (2024). Perilaku Pemilih Gen Z Pada Pemilihan Presiden Tahun 2024. SOSIAL : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan IPS, 2(2), 110–120. https://doi.org/10.62383/sosial.v2i2.152

Noor Hamid Khan Mahsud, & Husnul Amin. (2020). Theoretical Approaches to the Study of Voting Behaviour: A Comparative Analysis. Sjesr, 3(3). https://doi.org/10.36902/sjesr-vol3-iss3-2020(65-73)

Norris, P. (2004). Electoral engineering: Voting rules and political behavior. In Electoral Engineering: Voting Rules and Political Behavior. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511790980

Nurdin, A. (2024). Understanding voting behavior models: a critical review. Pena Justisia Media Komunikasi Dan Kajian Hukum, 22(2). https://doi.org/10.31941/pj.v22i2.4723

Nurdin, A. (2024). Understanding voting behavior models: a critical review. Pena Justisia Media Komunikasi Dan Kajian Hukum, 22(2). https://doi.org/10.31941/pj.v22i2.4723

Nyhuis, M., Gosselt, J. F., & Rosema, M. (2016). The psychology of electoral mobilization: a subtle priming experiment. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 26(3). https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2016.1160909

Pratiwi, S. C., Muhammad, A. H., Elsi, S. destemi E., & Suryono, M. V. afris. (2025). The influence of education level on voter behaviour in the 2024 presidential and vice-presidential election in Jambi. Jurnal Civics: Media Kajian Kewarganegaraan, 22(1), 12–20. https://doi.org/10.21831/jc.v22i1.1292

Pricilla, A., & Daulay, M. Y. I. (2023). How social media marketing of candidates affects voters’ intention to vote in the 2024 indonesia general election. Proceedings of International Conference on Finance Economics and Business (ICOFEB), 1(009), 454–467. https://doi.org/10.29103/icofeb.v1i-.454

Quattrone, G. A., & Tversky, A. (1988). Contrasting Rational and Psychological Analyses of Political Choice. American Political Science Review, 82(3). https://doi.org/10.2307/1962487

Ridwan, M., Ulum, B., Muhammad, F., Indragiri, I., & Sulthan Thaha Saifuddin Jambi, U. (2021). Pentingnya Penerapan Literature Review pada Penelitian Ilmiah (The Importance Of Application Of Literature Review In Scientific Research). Jurnal Masohi, 2(1).

Rosema, M., Aarts, K., & Denters, B. (2021). How Democracy Works: An Introduction. In How Democracy Works. https://doi.org/10.1017/9789048513369.002

Rusdiana, S. (2025). Political rights of ex-corruptors vis a vis electoral integrity in indonesia. Jurnal Magister Hukum Udayana (Udayana Master Law Journal), 14(1), 234. https://doi.org/10.24843/jmhu.2025.v14.i01.p13

Soroceanu, I. (2024). The causes and conditions of electoral crimes. Vector European, (2), 47-51. https://doi.org/10.52507/2345-1106.2024-2.08

Sánchez Parra, S. A., Gil Pérez, A. P., & Correa Ramírez, J. J. (2023). Introduction to dossier “Press, political history and public opinion in the 20th century”. Ciencia Nueva, Revista de Historia y Politica, 7(1). https://doi.org/10.22517/25392662.25369

Satriadi, Y., Yusuf, S., & Ali, R. (2021). Understanding the Voter’s Behavior as an Effort to Increase Publics’ Political Participation in Indonesia. International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 11(2). https://doi.org/10.6007/ijarbss/v11-i2/9192

Setiawan, H. D., & Djafar, T. M. (2023). Partisipasi Politik Pemilih Muda Dalam Pelaksanaan Demokrasi di Pemilu 2024. Populis : Jurnal Sosial Dan Humaniora, 8(2). https://doi.org/10.47313/pjsh.v8i2.2877

Sihabudin, M. M. R., Helwa Nur Alfa Laila, Kharisma Kharis, Rismayanti, & Riska Siti Fatimah. (2023). Strategi Positioning “Gemoy” Prabowo Subianto melalui Media Digital. HUMANUS : Jurnal Sosiohumaniora Nusantara, 1(1). https://doi.org/10.62180/dt1m2889

Singh, S. P. (2018). Compulsory Voting and Dissatisfaction with Democracy. British Journal of Political Science, 48(3). https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123416000041

Sukandar, N. H. T., Firmansyah, Pamungkas, Y. R. P., Wismayanti, G., Politik, T., Digital, K., & Americanization, T. (2024). Strategi Komunikasi Paslon Prabowo Gibran dalam Meningkatkan Kesadaran dan Partisipasi Gen Z dan Milenial dalam Pemilu 2024. Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen Dan Akuntansi, 2(1).

Susetyawidianta, R. D., & Geraldy, G. (2024). Political Branding Prabowo-Gibran dalam Pemilu Presiden 2024: Analisa Interaksionisme Simbolik di Media Sosial Instagram dan Twitter. Jurnal Ilmiah Kajian Komunikasi, 3(1).

Tížik, M. (2022). Zrod výskumu verejnej mienky na Slovensku: Inštitucionálne a politické súvislosti. Sociologia (Slovakia), 54(1). https://doi.org/10.31577/sociologia.2022.54.1.3

Ullah, S., Ali, A., & Rehman, A. (2020). The political impact of media bias on electoral process. Journal of Peace Development & Communication, 04(02), 253-269. https://doi.org/10.36968/jpdc-v04-i02-14

Urman, A. (2019). Context matters: political polarization on twitter from a comparative perspective. Media Culture & Society, 42(6), 857-879. https://doi.org/10.1177/0163443719876541

Vorobyev, A. N. (2018). The rise of american electoral research: Paul F. lazarsfeld and “the people’schoice”. Sotsiologicheskiy Zhurnal, 24(3). https://doi.org/10.19181/socjour.2018.24.3.5998

Wielk, E., & Standlee, A. (2021). Fighting for their future: An exploratory study of online community building in the youth climate change movement. Qualitative Sociology Review, 17(2). https://doi.org/10.18778/1733-8077.17.2.02

Wang, R. (2024). Corruption disclosure and electoral accountability system: reducing political corruption. HC, 1(6). https://doi.org/10.61173/9k89st89

Westwood, S. (2016). Marc j. hetherington and thomas j. rudolph.why washington won’t work: polarization, political trust, and the governing crisis. chicago: university of chicago press. 2015. 256 pp. $85.00 (cloth). $27.00 (paper).. Public Opinion Quarterly, 80(2), 589-591. https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfw019

Yahya, N. K., Warsoyo, A. D., & Ghani, I. M. (2024). Voting Behavior Patterns of Gen Z in the 2024 Indonesian Presidential Election in DKI Jakarta. Journal of Law, Politic and Humanities (JLPH), 4(5), 1611–1625. https://doi.org/10.38035/jlph.v4i5.574

Yusrin, Y., & Salpina, S. (2023). Partisipasi Generasi Millenial dalam Mengawasi Tahapan Pemilu 2024. Journal on Education, 5(3). https://doi.org/10.31004/joe.v5i3.1842

Zingher, J. (2022). The implications of our polarized politics., 207-216. https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197630693.003.0009

Downloads

Published

2024-04-30

How to Cite

Suniadewi, P. A., & Abadi, M. (2024). A Qualitative analysis the Factors Affects Voters Behavior. International Journal of Social and Political Sciences, 2(1), 68–84. https://doi.org/10.69812/ijsps.v2i1.96

Issue

Section

Articles